Skip to main content

Ellenberg: The Math of March Madness

The N.C.A.A. men’s basketball tournament started Thursday, but for most Americans the real action began days before, as they pored over brackets, competing to make the most accurate predictions — for money, or just office glory. These days, when statistical algorithms can figure out what breakfast cereal you want based on your browser history, stats-minded hoops fans have thrown lots of complex analysis at the problem of picking winners.