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Category: Experts Guide

Most Wisconsin Democrats say they plan to vote by mail this year. Most Republicans say they plan to go the polls

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Elections expert Barry Burden said he thought the partisan differences that voters expressed in the poll over voting-by-mail reflected the political debate that surfaced between the parties over the April election in Wisconsin, with Democratic politicians pushing for an all-mail election and Republican politicians opposing changes in the timing or conduct of the election.

President Donald Trump’s attacks on voting by-mail also fed the partisan debate.

But Burden expressed skepticism that the gap between how Democrats and Republicans choose to vote in November — whether by mail or in-person — will be as large as the poll suggests.

“It doesn’t reflect what we saw in the April 7 election (when) there was consistent but I would say modest differences between liberal and conservative voters in how they used mail ballots,” said Burden, a political scientist at the University of Wisconsin-Madison who studies the way elections are administered.

Communicating science’s inherent uncertainty and avoiding its use as a weapon during a crisis

Wisconsin Examiner

Quoted: How science, and those who communicate it, deal with changing sets of facts is an important question in a pandemic. Uncertainty must be clearly demonstrated and explained — or used in bad faith, according to Richard Keller, a professor of science history at UW-Madison. 

“Scientists are comfortable with uncertainty — they don’t like it, they want to be certain  — but they recognize that you’ll never be completely certain,” Keller says. “There’s a degree of comfort with uncertainty the general public doesn’t have. We want to know what we should likely do, what we have to do.”

At least 400 people have died from coronavirus in Wisconsin. Here’s what trends are emerging.

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Quoted: These conditions are important to help understand who is most vulnerable to the disease and how to take protective measures, according to Dr. Patrick Remington, an epidemiologist at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

But Remington cautioned against “othering” people, thinking that COVID-19 is a problem affecting someone else.

“Remember, most Americans have comorbidities,” said Remington, a former CDC epidemiologist and now the director of the Preventive Medicine Residency Program at Madison.  “I wouldn’t want anyone to think this is another person’s disease.”

Soyeon Shim is a big picture entrepreneur at the School of Human Ecology

Madison Magazine

When Soyeon Shim was young, she wanted to be a teacher.

“I’d come home and gather all the kids in the neighborhood and play like we were at school and I was the teacher,” she says.

For a girl growing up in South Korea, there weren’t many other options. “Teacher or nurse,” Shim says. “But in the back of my mind, I always wanted to be an entrepreneur.”

Axios returns coronavirus bailout loan as news organizations grapple with the ethics of taking government funds

The Washington Post

Quoted: Tash and Brown’s comments get an endorsement from Kathleen Bartzen Culver, who directs the Center for Journalism Ethics at the University of Wisconsin at Madison.

A government loan doesn’t automatically cause a conflict of interest, she said. But “I would . . . ask what [a] local news organization will do to counteract any potential conflict.” Her suggestion: “Any news organization that takes funds should report on that and reassure readers that they will continue to see fair, hard-hitting reporting, including on the government’s approach to an economy wrecked by an epidemic.”

Will Amash tip the race to Trump? Analysts are split

Washington Examiner

Quoted: “The presence of a minor party candidate can affect who wins an election,” said Barry Burden, a political science professor at the University of Wisconsin–Madison and director of its elections research center. “My research on prior minor party candidates for president indicates that between 25% and 60% of their support is from people who would not have voted.”

Student’s pug first U.S. dog to test positive for COVID-19

The Dartmouth

Quoted: Director of the Shelter Medicine Program at the University of Wisconsin-Madison Sandra Newbury, who has been conducting research on how COVID-19 impacts animals, stressed that the news is no reason to panic.

“We really don’t want people to freak out in general,” Newbury said. “In fact, it looks like dogs are not very good hosts for the virus … Most dogs that have tested positive have been asymptomatic.”

Experts split on whether Wisconsin should reopen on a regional basis

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Quoted: Jim Conway, an infectious disease expert and associate director for health sciences at the University of Wisconsin-Madison’s Global Health Institute, argued loosening restrictions regionally is a short-sighted idea.

“It’s like being in a swimming pool and having one area of the pool that it’s OK to pee in,” he said.

Conway said because the economy relies on travel in many sectors, there would be no way to ensure new cases weren’t brought to areas with few cases and few restrictions under a regional plan — especially in a state like Wisconsin with a lot of recreational tourism in rural areas.

COVID-19 virus samples in Dane, Milwaukee counties differ, UW genetic sequencing reveals

Wisconsin State Journal

Most COVID-19 viruses sequenced from Dane County patients appear to come from Europe, while Milwaukee-area samples stem from Asia, according to preliminary genetic sequencing data by UW-Madison researchers. “There’s not much mixing between the two locations,” Thomas Friedrich, a UW-Madison professor of pathobiological sciences, said. “This suggests to us that there’s been some success in the travel restrictions that we are still under.

Wisconsin Republicans haven’t come together on a COVID-19 response plan

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Quoted: But James Conway, an infectious diseases expert at the University of Wisconsin-Madison’s Global Health Institute, called opening different regions of the state at different times “terrifying.”

“It’s almost like the least common denominator will prevail if you do start to allow certain areas to open more liberally and have other areas still confined because you know there’s going to be travel and transit between those places. And as we saw in the Green Bay area it doesn’t take much for something to go from a small number of cases to exponentially exploding in just a few short days,” said Conway, who supports Evers’ plan.

No bump in COVID-19 rates after Wisconsin’s April 7 election, study says

Wisconsin State Journal

Such “preprint” studies have become more widespread during COVID-19, causing some controversy because the findings haven’t been vetted as much as usual. “This is highly unusual to practice science this way,” said Dr. Patrick Remington, director of the preventive medicine residency program at the UW School of Medicine and Public Health and former associate dean.

‘Trying to muddy the waters’: Opponents misuse stats in attack on Wisconsin virus lockdown, experts say

Wisconsin Watch

Noted: Misleading people by providing real information divorced from necessary context is not a unique strategy, said Dave Schroeder, a cybersecurity expert at the University of Wisconsin-Madison who tracks disinformation on social media.

He’s been following how public health information on the COVID-19 pandemic is being “attacked by actors with an agenda” and twisted to suit certain narratives.

19 spring election voters, poll workers contract COVID-19 coronavirus; ties to election uncertain

Wisconsin State Journal

Patrick Remington, professor emeritus at the UW-Madison School of Medicine and Public Health, said health officials would need to first determine the proportion of people who voted out of the total number of people who tested positive for COVID-19 during the time frame in which they could have exhibited symptoms from the April 7 election, or roughly two weeks.

State may have seen COVID-19 peak without big surge, but officials say risk remains

Wisconsin State Journal

At a UW-Madison webinar Tuesday, campus epidemiologists said the outbreak could get worse again if strict measures aren’t maintained. “If (the “Safer at Home” order) is not extended or an alternative, equally effective solution is not put in place, we’re at risk for a second wave of COVID-19,” said Ajay Sethi, an associate professor of population health sciences.

Madison School District offers guidelines for staff on how to keep Zoom secure for direct instruction

Quoted: Dave Schroeder, an information technology strategist with the Division of Information Technology at UW-Madison, wrote in an email that controls like those outlined in the district’s email are “ways to use Zoom securely,” but added that “some of those can only be controlled by the person hosting the meeting.”

Milwaukee’s recently hot housing market has slowed due to coronavirus, which has real-estate agents moving to virtual showings

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Quoted: That makes the real estate markets difficult to predict for industry experts like Mark Eppli, director of the James A. Graaskamp Center for Real Estate at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

“We have a lot of uncertainty and not a lot of data,” Eppli said.

Cats are far more susceptible to new coronavirus than dogs are, but people shouldn’t be ‘fearful’ of their pets, researchers say

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Quoted: “I don’t think that for most people cat-to-human transmission is the most likely way that they would be infected, but I’d be very surprised if this was impossible,” said David O’Connor, a professor of pathology and laboratory medicine at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Wisconsin now waits for the spring election results — and then the lawsuits

Wisconsin State Journal

“In every election there’s a stray story of a voter who got stuck in a long line or had difficulty getting their ballot, but those stories are pretty widespread in this election, and especially in some communities like Milwaukee,” said UW-Madison political science professor Barry Burden. “That will certainly lower people’s confidence that the election was run properly and that all voters were treated equally and fairly.”

‘There’s no protection here whatsoever’: As coronavirus emerges at Wisconsin prisons, workers and inmates try to stop the spread

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Quoted: Not only is social distancing impractical in prisons, they are places where “contagion is hard to avoid,” said Cecelia Klingele, an associate professor of law at the University of Wisconsin-Madison who specializes in criminal justice administration.

“People are given very little access in many prisons and jails to hygiene supplies from soap to toothpaste. Often, we ask prisoners to buy individual supplies,” she said. “There’s no easy access. They’re not washing their hands frequently and not bathing as much as we would hope.”

Wisconsin infectious diseases expert: Allowing in-person voting Tuesday ‘just seems really irresponsible’

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Quoted: James Conway, an infectious diseases expert at the University of Wisconsin-Madison’s Global Health Institute, said allowing people to gather at polling locations during Tuesday’s spring election will also damage the effectiveness of state leaders’ message to stay away from each other to blunt the spread of coronavirus.

“It just seems really irresponsible to make this one giant exception,” Conway said in an interview. “I was a little naive a week or so ago in thinking, ‘Oh, they’ve got to realize they’ve got to delay.’ … And then time has crept on and I’m like, really? I am very concerned.”

Read all about it: Minimal risk of COVID-19 coronavirus transmission from newspapers

Wisconsin State Journal

The risk of contracting the disease by picking up a newspaper is “exceedingly low,” said Dr. Nasia Safdar, medical director of infection control at UW Health. Public health authorities tend to be most concerned with the “main routes of transmission,” such as respiratory droplets from coughing or sneezing, she said.

A simple change that CEO/CFO’s can make to help small and mid-sized companies across the country

LinkedIn

If your firm is fortunate to feel confident in your survival and has the liquidity, you should take this opportunity to pay your vendors early. This can make a huge difference in their short term cash flow and might very well be the determining factors in keeping them operating until the environment changes and/or other funding sources become available.

Written by Dan Olszewski, UW Entrepreneurship Center Director

Coronavirus can spread quickly through a prison — so what can Wisconsin do to keep inmates, guards and the public safe?

Milwaukee Journal Sentinel

Quoted: There are many options for reducing jail and prison populations, which in turn will reduce the risk of COVID-19 to the public, according to Cecelia Klingele, an associate professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

Some prisoners have families willing to take them in, but others have nowhere to go, and the social service agencies that can help them are overloaded.

“These are hard questions,” Klingele said, “but they’re ones that we need to answer quickly.”

Coronavirus Pandemic Deals Another Blow To Wisconsin’s Newspapers

Wisconsin Public Radio

The COVID-19 shutdowns have taken away cornerstones of newspapers’ already-struggling revenue: business ads and events, said Mike Wagner, a journalism professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison.

“When news organizations rely on events to advertise about and rely on events that they themselves host, and they’re in an environment where there are no more events, they lose a significant portion of their revenue model,” he said.

Wagner said the situation still has time to get worse.

“It feels like March 84th, but really, we’ve just been at this for a couple of weeks,” he said. “The real economic hits are still to come, and the fact that an organization like the Isthmus had to close down so early, suggests how fragile some news organizations see themselves financially.”

Working At Home With A Toddler Will Be Chaotic. Here Are Some Tips To Help.

Wisconsin Public Radio

Quoted: In the new-world realities brought on by COVID-19, the disease spread from the new coronavirus known as SARS-CoV-2, early childhood specialist Lorena Mancilla urges parents and guardians to be kind to themselves while figuring out what works.

“Children need regulated, healthy parents more than anything else during this period of social distancing and shelter-in-place orders,” she said. “Life happens. Schedules may not work. It’s okay. Do what you can to keep your children safe.”

Wisconsin’s nursing shortage in the spotlight as hospitals face influx of COVID-19 cases

Wisconsin State Journal

The nursing shortage has been a historic problem, said Linda Scott, dean of UW-Madison’s School of Nursing. What’s particularly problematic in this case is that there aren’t enough nurses nor are there enough educators to train future nurses. And many of those educators will soon retire. … UW-Madison’s traditional nursing program alone receives about 400 applicants for 160 spots. At least half of the students not admitted are qualified for the program, Scott said.